I think Trump understands that war is a bad option on a number of levels. One of these levels is simply political. It would be all-consuming, potentially until the end of his presidency, and he would have less public support if he's tweeting out childish comments while American troops are dying overseas. It would also be a financial drain.
I think Trump understands that he needs to put on a face of toughness and unpredictability while doing what he can to avoid war. That actually may be the best strategy that a president can adopt.
I think Iran now understands more about Trump and what he is willing to do and what he is not willing to do. They will push things right up to the point they calculate will avoid war, but advance their ideological agenda in the region while also keeping their people satisfied that they are "winning" so that they keep their power base secure.
Even if Trump were to be revealed as the Dark Lord of the Sith, he's still better than the last four presidents we've had.
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