Tactical Discussion Boards

Are The Polls Accur...
 
Notifications
Clear all

Do you believe the presidential polls are accurate? Poll is created on Oct 26, 2020

  
  
  

Are The Polls Accurate?

6 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
791 Views
(@donaldbaker)
Illustrious Member Admin
Loaded Rounds: 2116
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 643
Topic starter  

Do you believe the polls are telling the truth? 

Even if Trump were to be revealed as the Dark Lord of the Sith, he's still better than the last four presidents we've had.


   
Quote
(@donaldbaker)
Illustrious Member Admin
Loaded Rounds: 2116
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 643
Topic starter  

If you think the polling method is flawed please elaborate on how.

Even if Trump were to be revealed as the Dark Lord of the Sith, he's still better than the last four presidents we've had.


   
ReplyQuote
(@phidippides)
Honorable Member Admin
Loaded Rounds: 1601
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 480
 

Based on what I have heard, a lot of conservatives lie to pollsters about whom they will vote.  Not sure if this is just anecdotal or a widespread activity.  This could also include people who are too afraid to tell pollsters about their choice.

 


   
ReplyQuote
(@donaldbaker)
Illustrious Member Admin
Loaded Rounds: 2116
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 643
Topic starter  

Yeah, but there are a larger number of registered Democrats voting in these polls.  Could be they registered Democrat so they can vote in primaries in certain states, but you never really know.  The Silent Majority may be skewing the polls like you are saying too.

Even if Trump were to be revealed as the Dark Lord of the Sith, he's still better than the last four presidents we've had.


   
ReplyQuote
(@phidippides)
Honorable Member Admin
Loaded Rounds: 1601
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 480
 

So the answer to the question was, "No, the polls are not accurate".  Why not?  That's an open question, but they pretty much all skewed in favor of Biden, sometimes with spectacularly wrong results.

Why does this matter?  Because polls can help steer public sentiment toward one side:

The researchers asked a selected group of voters to state their opinions on a variety of real public policy questions, and then presented them with fabricated poll results on the same topics. When the test subjects learned that a large number of experts favored a position, opinions shifted by 11.3%. But the "opinions of people like me" changed opinions by just 6.2%, while a general poll saying that a majority of people favored one side or the other moved the needle by 8.1%.

https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/insights/how-polls-influence-behavior

So if positive polling for Biden leading up to the election moved the dial by even 5%, that could explain several of his purported victories in battleground states.

In addition, polls can help with fundraising, as people will be more likely to donate if they think their candidate has a good chance of winning.


   
ReplyQuote
(@donaldbaker)
Illustrious Member Admin
Loaded Rounds: 2116
Joined: 5 years ago
Posts: 643
Topic starter  

The polling was pretty much propaganda fodder for the coup....that is looking ever more likely to succeed now.

Even if Trump were to be revealed as the Dark Lord of the Sith, he's still better than the last four presidents we've had.


   
ReplyQuote
Share:

FORUM RULES

  • No posts that incite violence or promotes hatred will be tolerated. Critics of gun enthusiasts always try to paint us as violent xenophobic racists. Nothing of the kind will be found here.
  • Harassment of other members will result in a swift permanent ban. If you cannot be nice, your stay here will be short.
  • Spamming the board with mindless rants will not be allowed. If there is a need, a forum can be created for well articulated tirades. We support free speech, but there are better ways of going about it.
  • Inappropriate pictures or graphics will be removed. There are enough websites on the internet for that junk. LegacyArmory.com isn’t going to become one of them.
  • Soliciting services are to be confined to the classified ads forum. We will allow the promotion of other personal websites so long as they are not inappropriate or offensive to our membership. WE KNOW INAPPROPRIATE WHEN WE SEE IT.
Legacy Armory